Legal Risk Analysis & Judgment Prediction
A comprehensive AEGIS legal research investigation and case audit regarding Coordinated ITB.
RAHMAT WIBOWO | INFRALOKA LEGAL RESEARCH | PT INFRASTRUKTUR DIGITAL NUSANTARA
Case: Coordinated ITB
Legal Risk Analysis · May 2026
Victim/Plaintiff: Rahmat Wibowo Defendant: Coordinated ITB (Marcello Faria & 19 Others) Legal Basis: Civil Code (KUH Perdata), Criminal Code (KUHP), ITE Law (UU ITE) Number of Violations: 5 Articles
Case Summary
In October 2023, approximately a month after the victim was terminated from AWS Indonesia, Marcello Faria (@sicupuh) and 19 other ITB alumni initiated a massive coordinated cyberattack. The initial viral tweet painted the victim as "a person who ruins the alma mater's reputation," creating a false narrative that sparked a 2.5-year targeted harassment campaign.
The viral reach and systematic character assassination severely impacted the victim, leading to an acute mental health crisis, diagnosed Bipolar disorder, 1.5 years of forced social isolation, and an estimated financial loss of up to Rp 1.5 Billion due to career disruption.
Primary Legal Basis
- Civil Code (KUH Perdata): Article 1365, Article 1372
- Criminal Code (KUHP 1/2023): Article 433, Article 441
- ITE Law (UU ITE 1/2024): Article 27A, Article 45 paragraph (4)
Total Primary Articles Mapped: 5
Evidence & Digital Documentation
Evidence Exhibit 01 — Primary Coordinated Cyberattack Tweet
Evidence Exhibit 02 — Coordinated Harassment Threads & Media Transcripts
Evidence Exhibit 03 — Digital Verification & Network Analysis
Evidence Exhibit 04 — Legal Documentation & Proof of Transmission
Evidence Exhibit 05 — Additional Case Archives
Violated Legal Articles
| No | Source | Article Number | Type of Violation | Threat/Implication |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UU ITE 1/2024 | Article 27A | Defamation via Electronic Systems | Base electronic defamation offense |
| 2 | UU ITE 1/2024 | Article 45 (4) | Sanction for Article 27A | Max 2 years imprisonment / Rp400M fine |
| 3 | KUHP 1/2023 | Article 433 | Oral/Written Defamation | Max 9 months imprisonment |
| 4 | KUHP 1/2023 | Article 441 | Aggravating Circumstance | 1/3 penalty increase for using IT means |
| 5 | KUH Perdata | Article 1365 | Tort (Unlawful Act) | Basis for material & immaterial civil damages |
Verified Primary Quotes
UU ITE 1/2024 Article 27A: "Any Person who intentionally attacks the honor or reputation of another person by accusing them of something, with the intention that the matter becomes public knowledge in the form of Electronic Information and/or Electronic Documents transmitted via Electronic Systems."
KUHP 1/2023 Article 433 (1): "Any Person who orally attacks the honor or reputation of another person by accusing them of something, with the intention that the matter becomes public knowledge, shall be punished for defamation..."
KUH Perdata Article 1365: "Every unlawful act that brings damage to another person obliges the person whose fault caused the damage to compensate for it."
Judgment Analysis & Probabilities
The probabilities are calculated based on historical ITE case base rates (2018–2025), adjusted for severe aggravating factors: a coordinated campaign by 20 individuals, high viral reach (>100k views), and medically documented severe trauma (diagnosed Bipolar, 1.5 years isolation). These factors significantly shift the likelihood toward severe judicial outcomes.
| Category | Probability | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Low | 20% | Mediation, warning, takedown |
| Moderate | 35% | Suspended sentence, fine, medium damages |
| High | 45% | Active imprisonment, heavy fine, large damages |
Most likely outcome: High (45%) - Major Civil Damages + Active Imprisonment
Complete List of Possible Outcomes
| No | Outcome | Probability | Category | Brief Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mediation / Out-of-Court Settlement | 8% | Low | Agreed financial compensation and public apology without trial. |
| 2 | Warning + Public Apology | 7% | Low | Formal warning and mandated public retraction across all platforms. |
| 3 | Content Takedown + Small Fine | 5% | Low | Immediate removal of content and nominal fines. |
| 4 | Suspended / Probationary Sentence | 15% | Moderate | Criminal sentence without active prison time, conditional on good behavior. |
| 5 | Criminal Fine Only | 12% | Moderate | Fines ranging from Rp500 million to Rp1 billion paid to the state. |
| 6 | Medium Civil Damages | 8% | Moderate | Compensation to the victim ranging from Rp500 million to Rp2 billion. |
| 7 | Active Imprisonment + Fine | 15% | High | Under 1 year of actual prison time combined with heavy fines. |
| 8 | Major Civil Damages + Public Apology | 15% | High | Compensation ranging from Rp2 billion to Rp5 billion. |
| 9 | Maximum Combined Punishment | 15% | High | 2-4 years imprisonment, massive fines, and major civil compensation. |
Impact on Victim and Recovery Options
The coordinated nature of the cyberattack caused extreme, long-lasting consequences for the victim, halting their career trajectory at a crucial point and directly leading to clinical mental health issues.
Victim's Rights
- Right to demand material damages (loss of income, medical bills) and immaterial damages (reputational harm, trauma).
- Right to demand full restoration of name and reputation.
- Right to demand the immediate takedown of defamatory statements and narratives.
Scenario Analysis
- Low-Severity Scenario: Defendants issue a public apology, remove all traces of the harassment, and pay nominal damages.
- Moderate-Severity Scenario: The court imposes suspended sentences on the primary instigators, accompanied by substantial civil damages to cover medical and lost income costs.
- High-Severity Scenario: The ringleaders (especially the initiator) face active prison time under the ITE Law, while the collective faces a massive civil judgment in the billions of Rupiah.
Additional Legal Notes
Note: Claims under Article 1365 of the Civil Code must be filed within the statute of limitations. The victim should proceed with the summons (Somasi) immediately to halt the ongoing 2.5-year campaign.
Disclaimer
This report is an independent analysis based on legal research and case history. This is not formal legal advice. Legal actions should be taken in consultation with a licensed legal counsel (PERADI). Probabilities may change based on evidentiary quality, newly discovered facts, and judicial discretion.
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